DOC RC-CB-2026.05 REV 05 ISSUED 03 MAY 2026 JURISDICTION US-ACTIVE
STATUS AVAILABLE
Independent Researcher · Catastrophe & Planetary Risk · Decision Support Systems

Richard Campanha

Sixteen years modeling natural and engineered hazards for the global (re)insurance market — building the geospatial decision systems capital gets allocated against. Founder of GeoRisk; NASA grant peer reviewer; longstanding research interest in decision support for crewed planetary operations.

16y
CAT Modeling & Systems
10y
Federal Service & Engagement
USCG Aux · InfraGard · NDRC
9y
NASA Grant Peer Reviewer
1x
NASA CER
Presidential Vision for Space Exploration
§ 01
Operating Thesis

Catastrophe modeling, grid resilience, and cyber risk are distinct problems sharing the same intellectual core: quantifying low-probability, high-consequence exposure on portfolios of assets and lives. I work across the surface of that core. Decision support for crewed planetary operations is a longstanding research interest — present here for transparency, available to be activated through the right programme. — Risk Engineering · A Multi-Domain Practice

Where civilian risk engineering meets defense and planetary capability.

The methods used to price hurricane risk for a Bermuda reinsurer are the methods used to forecast threat to forward operating bases, energy infrastructure, and supply chains. Capabilities mapped against current US federal program priorities, with planetary research as a declared interest rather than a current funded line.

CAT MODELINGPRODUCTION

Probabilistic Hazard Modeling

Tropical cyclone, severe convective storm, flood, wildfire, and earthquake modeling at portfolio scale. Sixteen years of production work across the senior tier of the global market — world's largest publicly traded P&C insurer, top-5 global reinsurer, and industry-leading CAT modeling vendors. Direct relevance to FEMA, USACE, NOAA, and DOD installation resilience programs.

GEOSPATIALREAL-TIME

Real-Time Hazard Intelligence

Live NOAA event ingestion, geospatial overlay against arbitrary asset portfolios, automated exposure quantification. GeoRisk is the operational reference architecture; applicable to installation resilience, energy grid hardening, and tactical situational awareness under DOE, DHS, and DOD authorities.

GRID RESILIENCEBLACK-SKY

Power-Grid Risk Modeling

Catastrophe-style modeling of US power-grid exposure to high-consequence threat scenarios — Fortran simulation engine paired with a modern map-based UI for decision support. Developed in collaboration with InfraGard (including the National Disaster Resilience Center) and the Foundation for Infrastructure Resilience. Aligned with DOE CESER, EPRI, and national-laboratory grid-security programs.

CYBER CATFRAMEWORK

Operational Cyber Risk Modeling

Led the workstream on Operational Cyber Risk for the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) in 2020, authoring a cyber catastrophe modeling framework for the UK actuarial profession. Direct relevance to CISA, DHS, and DOD cyber resilience programs that increasingly use catastrophe-modeling methodologies for systemic cyber risk.

PLANETARYRESEARCH INTEREST

Decision Support for Crewed Planetary Operations

Longstanding research interest in decision systems for Mars and lunar surface crews — risk management at distances where Earth-loop communication is infeasible. Builds on prior NASA Constellation-era ISRU work (MIT TLO Case 19973). A research interest available to be activated through the right programme; not a current funded line.

AEROSPACECLEARED IP

In-Situ Resource Utilization Modeling

MATLAB-based simulator for Martian ISRU, developed during a 2005 MIT internship on the NASA Constellation CER programme under the Presidential Vision for Space Exploration. Multi-contractor effort spanning MIT, Lockheed, Paragon, and other defense partners. MIT TLO Case No. 19973, IP rights formally released October 2017.

SOFTWAREFULL-STACK

Production Geospatial Software

End-to-end design and build of GeoRisk: ingestion pipelines, spatial joins at scale, web rendering, underwriter-grade UX. Demonstrated capability to ship deployable systems, not prototypes — the differentiator most SBIR Phase II reviewers explicitly look for.

MATHEMATICSFOUNDATIONAL

Differential Geometry · Spinor Methods

Active research extending undergraduate spinor / minimal-surface results toward Dirac-equation formulations. Foundational mathematics with applications in geometric mechanics, gauge theory, and theoretical propulsion physics relevant to AFRL and DARPA basic-research portfolios.

PEER REVIEWFEDERAL

NASA Grant Peer Review

Active NASA grant peer reviewer since 2017 (specific programme under NDA). Working knowledge of federal review criteria, mission-directorate priorities, and the proposal evaluation rubrics applied — useful as PI from inside the review process.

A real-time hazard intelligence layer for any portfolio of fixed assets.

GeoRisk overlays live NOAA hazard streams against user-uploaded asset portfolios in seconds. Built for (re)insurance underwriters; architected for direct extension into installation resilience, energy infrastructure, and supply-chain risk.

PROGRAM // GR-001

GeoRisk

Live hazard exposure quantification — civilian product, dual-use architecture, asset-agnostic engine.

001

Real-time NOAA ingestion

Continuous pull from authoritative hazard feeds — tropical, severe, flood, fire, marine — with provenance preserved end-to-end.

002

Portfolio-scale spatial joins

User uploads TIV portfolio (CSV, Excel); system performs geospatial intersection against active hazard polygons in seconds.

003

Exposure quantification

Automated TIV-at-risk calculation with breakdown by hazard type, severity, and confidence — underwriter-grade output formats.

004

Hazard- and asset-agnostic core

The engine doesn't know it's for insurance. The same architecture runs against installations, grid assets, supply nodes, or any other portfolio of geolocated assets exposed to natural hazards.

FIG-01 / SYSTEM TOPOLOGY ● LIVE
HAZARD FEED ASSET PORTFOLIO SPATIAL ENGINE intersection · scoring DECISION REPORT API EXPORT MAP UI
LATENCY < 10s end-to-end
HAZARD CLASSES tropical · severe · flood · fire
PORTFOLIO SIZE up to 500 locations
STATUS pre-launch

Sixteen years of shipping models the world's largest carriers bet capital on.

2017 — PRESENT
NASA · Grant Peer Reviewer
Programme under NDA
Active NASA grant peer reviewer evaluating proposals from inside the agency review process. Direct knowledge of evaluation criteria, mission-directorate priorities, and what separates fundable proposals from the rest. Specific programme name held confidential under NDA.
NASAPeer ReviewFederal
2024 — PRESENT
GeoRisk · CataclysmGuide
Founder · Principal · Architect
Independent build of real-time hazard intelligence platforms. End-to-end ownership: spatial engine, ingestion pipeline, web UI, customer development across MGAs, Lloyd's coverholders, and reinsurance.
FounderGeospatialFull-stack
PRIOR · 16Y
Top-tier (Re)Insurance & CAT Modeling Stack
Catastrophe Risk Specialist · Senior · Manager · Vendor-Side Experience
Production catastrophe modeling across the senior tier of the global market — including the world's largest publicly traded P&C insurer, a top-5 global reinsurer, the industry's leading CAT modeling vendor, and other top-rated specialty carriers and modeling firms. Pricing, accumulation, capital, post-event analytics, and AI-integrated exposure management. Vendor-side experience covers both buy-side and sell-side of the modeling stack — a perspective most CAT modelers never get.
(Re)InsuranceCAT ModelingVendor-Side
2010 — 2014
US Coast Guard Auxiliary
Auxiliarist · Opa Locka Air Station · CEU Volunteer
Four years of uniformed federal service as a USCG Auxiliarist, attached to Air Station Opa Locka. During the 2010 Deepwater Horizon response, built a near-infrared modification to consumer webcams to assist in distinguishing oil slicks from sea kelp on aerial patrols, and completed HAZMAT training in preparation for flight deployment (never deployed operationally). In 2011, volunteered with the Civil Engineering Unit Miami on AutoCAD as-built drafts for the Miami CEU base while remaining attached to Opa Locka. FEMA training and credentialing obtained during the same period.
USCG AuxFEMAHAZMATFederal Service
2010 — PRESENT
InfraGard · EMP-SIG / NDRC · FIR
Critical Infrastructure Partnership · Continuous Membership
InfraGard member since 2010 — FBI-vetted public-private partnership for critical infrastructure protection. Joined the Electromagnetic Special Interest Group (EMP-SIG) in 2012, which later became the National Disaster Resilience Center (NDRC); served through ~2023. Continued the line of work with the Foundation for Infrastructure Resilience (FIR) from 2024 onward. Cumulatively, fifteen years of continuous engagement with the US critical-infrastructure protection community.
InfraGardNDRCFIRCritical Infrastructure
2006
McNair Research Fellowship
Research Fellow
Postgraduate-track research fellowship awarded following the 2005 MIT internship. The fellowship year supported continued work in advanced mathematics — spinor characterizations of minimal surfaces — supervised by Drs. Grantcharov and Draghici at FIU.
McNairFellowshipMathematics
2005
MIT · NASA Constellation CER
Research Intern · Presidential Vision for Space Exploration
MATLAB simulator for Martian in-situ resource utilization, developed during a 2005 MIT internship on the NASA Constellation Concept Exploration & Refinement programme — the technical backbone of the Presidential Vision for Space Exploration (announced January 2004). Multi-contractor effort spanning MIT, Lockheed, Paragon, and other defense partners. MIT TLO Case No. 19973; IP rights formally released October 2017.
NASAConstellationISRUMIT TLO Cleared
CURRENT · ON HOLD
Georgia Institute of Technology
M.Sc. Computer Science (OMSCS) · in progress
Online Master of Science in Computer Science. Coursework partially completed; on hold pending current research and product priorities.
Georgia TechM.Sc. CSIn Progress
2012 — 2014
University of Oxford
Advanced Diploma · Data & Systems Analysis · Distinction
Oxford Department for Continuing Education, ADDSA programme (2012–2013). Graduated with Distinction; ceremony held at the Sheldonian Theatre, April 2014. Postgraduate-level coursework in advanced data architecture and systems analysis.
OxfordADDSADistinction
1999 — 2004
Florida International University
B.Sc. Mathematics · Concentrations: Physics, Astronomy
Enrolled at 16. Coursework in general relativity and differential geometry. Undergraduate research with Drs. Grantcharov and Draghici on spinor characterization of minimal surfaces — work that continued into the 2006 McNair fellowship, with a paper extension in preparation.
MathematicsGRSpinors

Research and publications that continue to compound.

Foundational mathematics, applied catastrophe research across natural and cyber hazards, and a longstanding interest in decision support for crewed planetary operations.

2025 / IN PREPARATION

Spinor Characterizations of Minimal Surfaces and the Geometric Dirac Equation

Extending undergraduate result that H = 0 iff the ratio of spinor components is anti-holomorphic, toward the matching of geometric Dirac structure to its physical counterpart.

UNDERGRADUATE / FIU

Spinor Methods, Gauss-Codazzi-Mainardi, and Conformal Coordinates

Established direct correspondence between minimal-surface condition and spinor-component anti-holomorphy. Supervised by Drs. Grantcharov and Draghici, supported through the McNair fellowship. Origin of the present research line.

IFoA / 2020

Operational Cyber Risk: A Catastrophe Modeling Framework

Led the workstream on Operational Cyber Risk for the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA), authoring a cyber catastrophe modeling framework for the UK actuarial profession. Presented at IFoA conferences and circulated as a profession-level reference.

2005 / MIT TLO RELEASED 2017

MATLAB Simulator: Martian In-Situ Resource Utilization

Developed during a 2005 MIT internship on the NASA Constellation CER programme under the Presidential Vision for Space Exploration. Multi-contractor effort across MIT, Lockheed, Paragon, and other defense partners. MIT TLO Case No. 19973, IP rights formally released October 2017. Code base available for review.

Open work that predates the brief.

A long record of contributing to the public technical commons — from foundational mathematics texts to operating systems education. Cited here because it documents two decades of working in the open, not because it's federal-relevant.

WIKIBOOKS / ABSTRACT ALGEBRA

Contributing Author — rcamp004

Listed contributor to the open-source Abstract Algebra Wikibook — groups, rings, fields, modules. Open mathematics text, used as a free reference by students globally.

OSTEP / ARPACI-DUSSEAU

Acknowledged Contributor — Operating Systems: Three Easy Pieces

Named in the contributions and thanks of OSTEP, the canonical open operating systems textbook, latest online edition.